Crypto Cradle

Yes, you read that right. I started buying cryptocurrencies last week.

The truth is I’ve always been a bit reluctant to cryptocurrencies and their extreme spikes in price. This seemed unsustainable and the bubble would certainly burst. However, I decided to dive into the idea behind blockchain and I must say it is really interesting and innovative.

crypto-currency-trading-investing

I’ll introduce my case with an example of the air line industry:

McLaughlin says: “Many industries pay billions of dollars a year in the cost of collections through card products, so there is extreme interest in the development of alternatives that may drive costs from percents to cents.” For some industries, the removal of fees will provide a substantial boost to profits. The International Air Transport Association states that collections cost the airline industry as a whole around $7 billion a year in fees, with the majority from credit cards. Further, the industry is exposed to around $1 billion a year in fraud.

and the banking industry:

Now, a new report by consultancy Accenture and benchmarking firm McLagan suggests an area particularly deserving of incumbents’ attention. The study, using data for eight of the world’s largest investment banks, looked into the potential benefits that blockchain adoption might deliver. It found that blockchain could save these banks $8 billion to $12 billion annually and cut their operational costs by 30% per year on average.

Notice that this is only for the eight largest investment banks.

Point is, blockchain has some huge savings potential and the practical benefits are also enormous. If I want to send a money transaction from here to Singapore, it would take days to arrive and a costly fee. Even sending money in the weekend is not possible! Last week I sent something out Friday evening and it only arrived Tuesday afternoon! It is simply not acceptable that money transactions are not going on in the weekend.

Enter blockchain and its innovative theory. I’m not going to explain the whole process but in short it is a decentralized system for digital assets. This means there are no 3rd parties involved thus reducing fees to a maximum. The only thing that needs to be paid is the mining. This mining costs electricity and equipment which is the major cost to mine. However, it far outweighs the costs of a traditional system.

I’m gonna save you the explanation of how I started, but I’m gonna share the timing. Boy, could it have been worse? Reaching an all time high at $830 billion market cap of cryptocurrencies last week, it dropped towards $720 billion shortly after. Thinking this little dip would provide a good opportunity to get in, I bought for €4000 in coins. Two days later, bang, big crash! The total market cap dropped shortly to around $430 billion.

Crypto-Market-Crash

It’s actually the 2nd time this happens to me. Remember 24th August 2015? A flash crash on the stock market happened. I started investing one week before, worst timing ever. Once again, markets cannot be timed…

So now, what does a rational investor do when prices drop? Buy more. And that’s exactly what I did. It’s one of the benefits of my stock market experience. I had to do some dollar cost averaging to lower my overall purchase price. I transferred another €7,000 from my savings account and started shopping. From that €7,000, there is currently €5,800 invested with the remaining €1,200 as cash buffer. This makes a total of €9,800 invested in the crypto market.

crypto-boom.png

At the moment of writing, the crash has partly recovered and my €9,800 is already up around €3,500. In terms of return, that’s about 35% in just a couple of days! Extrapolated to a yearly basis, this would be crazy. I have to work 2 months for this amount of money. By the end of writing this post, there can already be a big difference due to the high volatility.  Let’s hope the climb continues as from now on, but there is some rumor about expiring futures on Wall Street on the 26th of January. This might cause a new flash crash, for which I will transfer another €1,800 from my bank account. This will put the ‘just in case’ crash cash on a total balance of €3,000 but then my limit is reached. Then it’s just holding.

I truly believe in the potential of blockchain and it’s applications. That’s why I invested more than I initially intended to. I’ll quote Hitters Xu, one of the pioneers:

People seem to have misunderstandings about the ‘killer app’ of blockchain in that they think it must bring value to traditional industries as a tool. But blockchain is more than just a tool, it represents a fundamentally different way of thinking.

I know many of you might be opposed to crypto currencies, but I see it as a high risk/reward diversification of my portfolio and net worth.

I’m not gonna cover every detail in this post to keep it digestible. Expect more related posts in the future.

What’s your take on the matter?

 

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4 reacties op ‘Crypto Cradle

  1. financialfreedomsloth

    O no, I am a big fan of the block chain technology. Even if it will probably eliminate about 80% off all back office work and I happen to work in a back office. Hell, one of my personal projects on my to do list is setting up a raspberry pi to run boinc calculations and thus earn gridcoins. Just to understand more about the technology and one of its applications as it will not be profitable in all likelihood. But investing and thus identify the future ‘winners’ in this field? Way to early! I have used the internet since 1994 and believe me if I say that identifying the future giants of the internet world was impossible. Hell, even now, it’s hard to say if the current giants will still exist 20 years from now. Altavista used to be a big name …
    So love the technology, but as area to invest in? Nope. I don’t even know if there’s that much profit in it at all. It’s open source tech, and has a distributed open architecture at its core. Meaning that successful implementations can be copied. And copied cheaply. That means that it will very quickly become a low margin environment. Which is absolutely fantastic for society as a whole. But it is not an area I want to invest in. I prefer high margins and high barriers to entry.

    Like

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